Website: Graduate School Leadership Profile

Philip Mote is vice provost and dean of the Graduate School and remains active in the Oregon Climate Change Research Institute (OCCRI), which he directed from 2009 to 2019, and in climate communications. He earned a BA in Physics from Harvard University and a PhD in Atmospheric Sciences from the University of Washington.

He no longer has active grants to support graduate students.

Publications

130. Queen, L.E., P.W. Mote, D.E. Rupp, O. Chegwidden, and B. Nijssen, 2021: Ubiquitous increases in flood magnitude in the Columbia River Basin under climate change. Hydrol. Earth System Science, 25, 257-272, doi: 10.5194/hess-25-257-2021.

129. Dalton, Meghan, Heejun Chang, Benjamin Hatchett, Paul Loikith, Philip Mote, Laura Queen, and David Rupp, 2021: State of Climate Science. In Dalton, M., and E. Fleishman, editors, Fifth Oregon Climate Assessment. Oregon Climate Change Research Institute, Oregon State University, Corvallis, Oregon.

128. Roesch-McNally, G., M. Chang, M. Dalton, S. Lowe, C. Luce, K. May, G. Morishima, P. Mote, S. Petersen, and E. York, 2020: Beyond Climate Impacts: Knowledge gaps and process-based reflection on preparing the Northwest regional chapter of NCA4. Weather, Climate, and Society. Vol. 12, no.3 doi: 10.1175/WCAS-D-19-0060.1.

127. Pendergrass, A. G., G. A. Meehl, R. Pulwarty, M. Hobbins, A. Hoell, A. AghaKouchak, C. J. W. Bonfils, A. J. E. Gallant, M. Hoerling, D.Hoffmann, L. Kaatz, F.Lehner, D. Llewellyn, P. Mote, R. B. Neale, J. T. Overpeck, A. Sheffield, K. Stahl, M. Svoboda, M. C. Wheeler, A. W. Wood, and C. A. Woodhouse, 2020: Flash droughts present a new challenge for subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction. Nature Climate Change 10, 191–199. doi:10.1038/s41558-020-0709-0

126. Hawkins, L.R., D.E. Rupp, D.J. McNeall, S. Li, R.A. Betts, P.W. Mote, S.N. Sparrow, and D.C.H. Wallom, 2019: Parametric sensitivity of vegetation dynamics in the TRIFFID model and the associated uncertainty in projected climate change impacts on western US forests. JAMES, doi: 10.1029/2018MS001577.

125. Li, S., D.E. Rupp, L. Hawkins, P.W. Mote, D. McNeall, S.N. Sparrow, D.C.H. Wallom, R.A. Betts, and J.J. Wettstein, J.J, 2019: Reducing climate model biases by exploring parameter space with large ensembles of climate model simulations and statistical emulation, Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 3017-3043, doi: 10.5194/gmd-12-3017-2019.

124. Chegwidden, O.S., B. Nijssen, D. Rupp, J.R. Arnold, M.P. Clark, J. Hamman, S-C Kao, Y. Mao, N. Mizukami, P. Mote, M. Pan, E. Pytlak, and Mu Xiao, 2019: How do modeling decisions affect the spread among hydrologic climate change projections? Earth’s Future, doi: 10.1029/2018EF001047.

123. May, C., C. Luce, J. Casola, M. Chang, J. Cuhaciyan, M. Dalton, S. Lowe, G. Morishima, P. Mote, A. Petersen, G. Roesch-McNally, and E. York, 2018: Northwest. In Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation in the United States: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume II [Reidmiller, D.R., C.W. Avery, D.R. Easterling, K.E. Kunkel, K.L.M. Lewis, T.K. Maycock, and B.C. Stewart (eds.)]. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA. doi: 10.7930/NCA4.2018.CH24

122. Chisholm Hatfield, S., E. Marino, K. P. Whyte, K. Dello, and P. Mote, 2018: Indian Time: Time, Seasonality, and Culture in Traditional Ecological Knowledge of Climate Change. Ecol Process 7: 25. doi:10.1186/s13717-018-0136-6.

121. Mote, P.W., S. Li, D. Lettenmaier, M. Xiao, and R. Engel, 2018: Dramatic declines in snowpack in the western US. Nature npj Climate and Atmos. Sci., doi:10.1038/s41612-018-0012-1.

120. Jaeger, W.K., A. Amos, D.P. Bigelow, H. Chang, D.R. Conklin, R. Haggerty, C. Langpap, K. Moore, P.W. Mote, A. Nolin, A.J. Plantinga, C. Schwartz, D. Tullos, and D.T. Turner, 2017: Scarcity Amid Abundance: Water, Climate Change, and the Policy Role of Regional System Models. PNAS, 114 (45); doi: 10.1073/pnas.1706847114.

119. Vano, J. A., D. Behar, P. W. Mote, D. B. Ferguson, and R. Pandya, 2017: Partnerships drive science to action across the AGU community, Eos, 98, doi: 10.1029/ 2017EO088041.

118. Rupp, D. E., S. Li, P.W. Mote, N. Massey, S.N. Sparrow, and D.C. Wallom, 2017: Influence of the Ocean and Greenhouse Gases on Severe Drought Likelihood in the Central United States in 2012. Journal of Climate, 30(5), 1789-1806.

117.The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Review of the Climate Science Special Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi:10.17226/24712.

116. Dalton, M.M, K.D. Dello, L. Hawkins, and P.W. Mote, 2017: The Third Oregon Climate Assessment Report, Oregon Climate Change Research Institute, College of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR.

115. Rupp, D.E., S. Li, P.W. Mote, N. Massey, S.N. Sparrow, and D.C.H. Wallom, 2016: Influence of the ocean and greenhouse gases on severe drought likelihood in the central US in 2012. J. Clim., doi: 10.1175/ JCLI-D-16-0294.1.

114. Rupp, D.E., J.T. Abatzoglou, and P.W Mote, 2016: Projections of 21st century climate of the Columbia River Basin. Clim. Dyn., doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3418-7.

113. Dalton, M.M., L. Benda, M. Case, S. Chisholm Hatfield, N. Cohn, M. Conlin, J. Lawler, P. Mote, D. Sharp, G. Reeves, P. Ruggiero, K. Serafin. 2016. “Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment for the Treaty of Olympia Tribes.” A Report to the Quinault Indian Nation, Hoh Tribe, and Quileute Tribe. Oregon Climate Change Research Institute, Corvallis, OR

112. Mote, P.W., D.Rupp, S. Li, F. Otto, D. Sharp, F. Otto, P. Uhe, M. Xiao, D. Lettenmaier, H. Cullen, and M.R. Allen, 2016: Perspectives on the causes of exceptionally low 2015 snowpack in the western US. Geophys. Research Letters, 43, doi:10.1002/ 2016GL069965.

111. Rupp, D.E., S. Li, P.W. Mote, K.M. Shell, N. Massey, S.N. Sparrow, D.C.H. Wallom, and M.R. Allen, 2016: Seasonal spatial patterns of projected anthropogenic warming in complex terrain: a modeling study of the western US. Clim. Dyn. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016- 3200-x

110. National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, 2016: Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change. Washington, DC: National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21852.

109. Vano, Julie A., John B. Kim, David E. Rupp, and Philip W. Mote, 2016: Selecting climate change scenarios using impact‐relevant sensitivities. Geophys. Research Letts. 42, no. 13 (2015): 5516-5525.

108. Li, S., P.W. Mote, D. Vickers, R. Mera, D.E. Rupp, A. Salahuddin, M.R. Allen, and R. G. Jones, 2015: Evaluation of a regional climate modeling effort for the western US using a superensemble from climate- prediction.net. J. Clim, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00808.1.

107. Mera, R., D. Rupp, N. Massey, M. Allen, P. Mote, and P.C. Frumhoff, 2015: Climate Change, Climate Justice and the Application of Probabilistic Event Attribution to Summer Heat Extremes in the California Central Valley. Climatic Change, doi: 10.1007/s10584-015-1474-3.

106. Mote, P.W., M.R. Allen, R.G. Jones, S.Li, R. Mera, D.E. Rupp, A. Salahuddin, and D. Vickers, 2015: Superensemble regional climate modeling for the western US. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D- 14-00090.1.

105. Rupp, D. E., S. Li, N.Massey, S. N. Sparrow, P. W. Mote, and M. Allen, 2015: Anthropogenic influence on the changing likelihood of an exceptionally warm summer in Texas, 2011, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, doi:10.1002/2014GL062683.

104. Mote, P.W., and S. Chisholm Hatfield, 2014: Assessing Climate Change Effects on Natural and Cultural Resources of Significance to Northwest Tribes

103. Ralph, F.M., et al., 2014: A vision of future observations for western US extreme precipitation and flooding. J. Contemporary Water Resources Research & Education, 153, pp 16-32.

102. Mote, P., A.K. Snover, S. Capalbo, S.D. Eigenbrode, P. Glick, J. Littell, R. Raymondi, and S. Reeder, 2014: Ch. 21: Northwest. Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment, J. M. Melillo, Terese (T.C.) Richmond, and G. W. Yohe, Eds., U.S. Global Change Research Program, 495-521.

101. Abatzoglou, J., D.E. Rupp, and P.W. Mote, 2014: Understanding seasonal climate variability and change in the Pacific Northwest of the United States. J. Climate, 27, 2125–2142 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00218.1.

100. Moss, R.H., G. A. Meehl, M.C. Lemos, J.B. Smith, J.R. Arnold, J.C. Arnott, D. Behar, G.P. Brasseur, S.B. Broomell, A.J. Busalacchi, S. Dessai, K.L. Ebi, J.A. Edmonds, J. Furlow, L. Goddard, H.C. Hartmann, J.W. Hurrell, J.W. Katzenberger, D.M. Liverman, P. Mote, S. C. Moser, A. Kumar, R. S. Pulwarty, E. A. Seyller, B. L. Turner, W. M. Washington, T. J. Wilbanks, 2013: Hell and High Water: Application-Relevant Climate Adaptation Science. Science, doi: 10.1126/science.1239569.

99. Dalton, M., P.W. Mote, and A.K. Snover, eds., 2013: Climate Change in the Northwest: Implications for Our Landscapes, Waters, and Communities. 224 pp. Island Press.

98. Mote, P., J. Abatzoglou, and K. Kunkel, 2013: Climate change in the Northwest. Chapter 2 in Dalton, M., P.W. Mote, and A.K. Snover, eds., 2013: Climate Change in the Northwest: Implications for Our Landscapes, Waters, and Communities. 224 pp. Island Press.

97. Rupp, D.E., J. Abatzoglou, K.C. Hegewisch, and P.W. Mote, 2013: Evaluation of CMIP5 20th century climate simulations for the Pacific Northwest US. J. Geophys. Res., doi:10.1002/jgrd.50843.

96. Ashfaq, M., S. Ghosh, S.-C. Kao, L.C. Bowling, P. Mote, D. Touma, S.A. Rauscher, and N.S. Diffenbaugh, 2013: Nearterm acceleration of hydroclimatic change in the western U.S., J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 118, 10,676–10,693, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50816.

95. Vaughan, D. G., J. C. Comiso, I. Allison, J. Carrasco, G. Kaser, R. Kwok, P. Mote, T. Murray, F. Paul, J. Ren, E. Rignot, O. Solomina, K. Steffen and T. Zhang, 2013: Observations: Cryosphere. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T. F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P. M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

94. Rupp, D.E., P.W. Mote, N.L. Bindoff, P.A. Stott, D.A. Robinson, 2013: Detection and Attribution of Observed Changes in Northern Hemisphere Spring Snow Cover. J. Climate, 26, 6904–6914. doi:10.1175/ JCLI-D-12-00563.1

93. Rupp, D.E., P.W. Mote, F.E.L. Otto, and M.R. Allen, 2013: The human influence on the probability of low precipitation in the central United States in 2012. [in Explaining Extreme Events of 2012 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 94 (9), S2-S6.

92. Jaeger, W. K., A.J. Plantinga, H. Chang, K. Dello, G. Grant, D. Hulse, J.J. McDonnell, S. Lancaster, H. Moradkhani, A.T. Morzillo, P. Mote, A. Nolin, M. Santelmann, and J. Wu, 2013: Toward a formal definition of water scarcity in natural-human systems, Water Resour. Res., 49, 4506–4517, doi:10.1002/wrcr.20249.

91. Mauger, G. S., K. A. Bumbaco, G. J. Hakim, and P. W. Mote, 2013: Optimal design of a climatological network: Beyond practical considerations, Geosci. Instrum. Method. Data Syst. Discuss., 3, 193-219, doi: 10.5194/ gid-3-193-2013.

90. National Research Council 2012. Sea-Level Rise for the Coasts of California, Oregon, and Washington: Past, Present, and Future. R.A. Dalrymple and A. Linn, eds., National Academy Press, 201pp.

89. Rupp, D.E., PW Mote, et al., 2012: Did human influence on climate make the 2011 Texas drought more probable? In Peterson, T., P.A. Stott, and S. Herring, eds, 2012: Explaining 2011. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00021.1

88. MacArthur, J., P. Mote, J. Ideker, M. Figliozzi, and M. Lee, 2012: Climate Change Impact Assessment for Surface Transportation in the Pacific Northwest and Alaska. Oregon Transp. Resrch and Ed. Consortium, OTREC-RR-12-01.

87. Mote, P.W., and K.T. Redmond, 2011: Western climate change. in Ecological Consequences of Climate Change, E.A. Beever and J.L. Belant, eds., Taylor and Francis. ISBN: 978-1-4200-8720-8.

86. Mote, P.W., L. Brekke, P. Duffy, and E. Maurer, 2011: Guidelines for constructing climate scenarios. EOS, Transactions, Amer. Geophys. Union, 92, doi:10.1029/ 2011EO310001.

85. Beever, E.A., C. Ray, J.L. Wilkening, P.F. Brussard, and P.W. Mote, 2011: Contemporary climate change alters the pace and drivers of extinction. Global Change Biology, doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02389.x.

84. Dello, K.D., and P.W. Mote, eds, 2010: Oregon Climate Assessment Report. COAS, OSU.

83. Mote, P.W., et al., 2010: Climate change in Oregon’s land and marine environments. Chapter 1 in Dello, K.D., and P.W. Mote, eds, Oregon Climate Assessment Report. COAS, OSU.

82. Bumbaco, K., and P.W. Mote, 2010: Three recent flavors of drought in the Pacific Northwest. J. Appl. Met and Clim. 49 2058-2068 doi:10.1175/2010JAMC 2423.1.

81. National Research Council, 2010: Adapting to Climate Change. K. Jacobs and T. Wilbanks, eds., America’s Climate Choices: Panel on Adapting to the Impacts of Climate Change. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. 244pp.

80. Minder, J. R., P. W. Mote, and J. D. Lundquist (2010), Surface temperature lapse rates over complex terrain: Lessons from the Cascade Mountains, J. Geophys. Res., 115, D14122, doi:10.1029/2009JD013493.

79. Slaughter, R., A.F. Hamlet, D. Huppert, J. Hamilton, and P.W. Mote, 2010: Mandates vs. markets: Addressing over-allocation of Pacific Northwest river basins. Water Policy, 12, 305-317, doi: 10.2166/wp.2009.152.

78. Mote, PW, and E.P. Salathé Jr., 2010: Future climate in the Pacific Northwest. Clim. Change, doi: 10.1007/ s10584-010-9848-z.

77. Beever, E.A., C. Ray, P.W. Mote, and J.L. Wilkening, 2010: Testing alternative models of climate-mediated extirpations. Ecol. Appl., 20, 164-178.

76. Mote, P.W., 2009: Variability and trends in mountain snowpacks in western North America. Chapter 4 in Climate Warming in western North America: evidence and environmental effects, Frederic H. Wagner, ed., University of Utah Press.

75. Zhang, Y., V. Dulière, P. Mote, and E.P. Salathé Jr., 2009: Evaluation of WRF and HadRM mesoscale climate simulations over the United States Pacific Northwest, J. Climate, 22, doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2875.1.

74. Mote, PW, and E.P. Salathé Jr., 2009: Future climate in the Pacific Northwest. Chapter 1 in The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment: Evaluating Washington's Future in a Changing Climate, Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.

73. Brown, R.D., and P.W. Mote, 2009: The response of northern hemisphere snow cover to a changing climate. J. Climate, 22, doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2665.1.

72. Casola, J.H., L. Cuo, B. Livney, D.P. Lettenmaier, P.W. Mote, and J.M. Wallace, 2009: Assessing the impacts of global warming on Pacific Northwest snowpack. J. Climate, 22, doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2612.1.

71. Fueglistaler, S., A.E. Dessler, T.J. Dunkerton, I. Folkins, Q. Fu, and P.W. Mote, 2009: The tropical tropopause layer. Rev. Geophys., 47, RG1004, doi: 10.1029/ 2008RG000267.

70. Mote, P.W., and G. Kaser, 2008: The shrinking glaciers of Kilimanjaro: can global warming be blamed? pp 63-82 in Melting Glaciers and Rising Sea Levels: Impacts and Implications, P.S. Ranade, ed. Icfai University Press, Hyderabad, India.

69. Mote, P., E. Salathé, V. Dulière, and E. Jump, 2008: Scenarios of future climate for the Pacific Northwest. A report of the Climate Impacts Group for the State of Washington. 14 pp.

68. Kaser, G., and P.W. Mote, 2008: Glestcherschwund am Kilimanjaro. Spectrum der Wissenschaft, Januar, 62-69.

67. Mote, P.W., A. Peterson, H. Shipman, W.S. Reeder, and L. Whitely Binder, 2008: Sea level rise in the coastal waters of Washington. Report for the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. 11pp.

66. National Research Council, 2008: Research and Networks for Decision Support in the NOAA Sectoral Applications Research Program. H.M. Ingram and P.C. Stern, eds., Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. 85pp.

65. Mote, P.W., A.F. Hamlet, and E.P. Salathé, Jr., 2007: Has spring snowpack declined in the Washington Cascades? Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, 4, 2073-2110, and Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 12, 193-206 (2008).

64. Mote, P.W., J. Casson, A. Hamlet, and D. Reading, 2007: Sensitivity of Northwest ski areas to warming. Proc. Western Snow Conf. 2007, B. McGurk, ed., 63–67.

63. Salathé, E.P., P.W. Mote, and M.W. Wiley, 2007: Review of scenario selection and downscaling methods for the assessment of climate change impacts on hydrology in the United States Pacific Northwest. International Journal of Climatology, 27, 1611–1621, doi: 10.1002/ joc.1540.

62. Colman, R., W. Collins, J. Haywood, M. Manning, and P. Mote, 2007: The Physical Science behind climate change. Scientific American, August, 64–71.

61. Mote, P.W., and G. Kaser, 2007: The shrinking glaciers of Kilimanjaro: can global warming be blamed? American Scientist, 95, 318–325.

60. Trenberth, K.E., P.D. Jones, P. Ambenje, R. Bojariu, D. Easterling, A. Klein Tank, D. Parker, F. Rahimzadeh, J.A. Renwick, M. Rusticucci, B. Soden and P. Zhai, 2007: Observations: Surface and Atmospheric Climate Change. Chapter 3 in Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. 102pp.

59. Lemke, P., J. Ren, R.B. Alley, I. Allison, J. Carrasco, G. Flato, Y. Fujii, G. Kaser, P. Mote, R.H. Thomas and T. Zhang, 2007: Observations: Changes in Snow, Ice and Frozen Ground. Chapter 4 in: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. 48pp.

58. Hamlet, A.F., P.W. Mote, M.P. Clark, and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2007: 20th century trends in runoff, evapotranspiration, and soil moisture in the Western U.S. J. of Climate, 20, 1468–1486.

57. Keeton, W.S., P.W. Mote, and J.F. Franklin, 2007. Climate variability, climate change, and western wildfire with implications for the urban-wildland interface. In A. Troy and R. Kennedy (eds)., Living on the Edge: Economic, Institutional and Management Perspectives on Wildfire Hazard in the Urban Interface, pp 225-253. Elsevier Ltd., Oxford.

56. Alley, R., et al., 2007: Summary for Policymakers. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. 18pp.

55. Miles, E.L., A.K. Snover, L.C. Whitely Binder, E. Sarachik, P.W. Mote, and N.J. Mantua, 2007: An approach to designing a National Climate Service. Proceedings of the National Academies of Sciences, 103, 19616–19623. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0609090103.

54. Mote, P.W., 2006: Climate-driven variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America, J. Climate, 19, 6209–6220.

53. Mote, P.W., and R. Frey, 2006: Variability of clouds and water vapor in low latitudes: view from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), J. Geophys. Res., 111, D16101, doi:10.1029/2005JD006791. 14pp.

52. Mote, P.W., E.P. Salathé and C. Peacock, 2006: Energy-relevant impacts of climate change in the Pacific Northwest. A report prepared for Portland General Electric Center for Science in the Earth System, University of Washington, Seattle. 19pp.

51. Mote, P.W., A.F. Hamlet, and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2005: Variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America. In Proceedings of the Western Snow Conference, April 19-22, 2004, Richmond, BC. K. Elder et al., eds., 15–22.

50. Mote, P.W., E.P. Salathé, and C. Peacock. 2005. Scenarios of Future Climate for the Pacific Northwest. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington. 13pp.

49. Mote, P.W., A.K. Snover, L.C. Whitely Binder, A.F. Hamlet, and N.J. Mantua, 2005: Uncertain Future: Climate Change and Its Effects on Puget Sound - Foundation Document. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Oceans, University of Washington. 42pp.

48. Snover, A.K., P.W. Mote, L.C. Whitely Binder, A. F. Hamlet, and N.J. Mantua. 2005. Uncertain Future: Climate Change and Its Effects on Puget Sound. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Oceans, University of Washington. 36pp.

47. Hamlet, A.F., P.W. Mote, M.P. Clark, and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2005: Effects of precipitation and temperature variability on snowpack trends in the western United States, J. Climate, 18, 4545–4561.

46. Mote, P.W., A.F. Hamlet, M.P. Clark, and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2005: Declining mountain snowpack in western North America, Bull. of the Amer. Meteorol. Soc.,86, 39–49.

45. Mote, P.W., 2004: Global climate is changing. (and) Response to Patrick Michaels. Spring Hill Review, L. Austen, ed. 2pp.

44. McKenzie, D., Z. Gedalof, D. Peterson, and P. Mote, 2004: Climatic change, wildfire, and conservation, Cons. Biol., 18, 890–902.

43. Mote, P.W., 2004: Declines in snow water equivalent in the Pacific Northwest and their climatic causes. In Proc. Western Snow Conf., B. McGurk, ed., 77–83.

42. Mote, P.W., 2004: “How and why is Northwest climate changing?” in Climate Change, Carbon, and Forestry in Northwestern North America, edited by David L Peterson and John L. Innes. Pacific Northwest research station general technical report, pp 11–22.

41. Mote, P.W., and T.J. Dunkerton, 2004: Kelvin wave signatures in stratospheric trace constituents. J. Geophys. Res., 109, 10.1029/2002JD00370. 9pp.

40. Mote, P.W., A.F. Hamlet, and M. Clark, 2004: Variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America. Proc. 15^th Conf. on Global Climate Variations and Change, Amer. Meteorol. Soc., Boston Mass. 10pp.

39. Mote, P.W., 2003: Twentieth-century fluctuations and trends in temperature, precipitation, and mountain snowpack in the Puget Sound/Georgia Basin region, Canadian Water Resources Journal, 28, 567–586.

38. Mote, P.W., 2003: Trends in temperature and precipitation in the Pacific Northwest, Northwest Science, 77, 271–282.

37. Mote, P.W., E.A. Parson, A.F. Hamlet, W.S. Keeton, D. Lettenmaier, N. Mantua, E.L. Miles, D.W. Peterson, D.L. Peterson, R. Slaughter, and A.K. Snover, 2003: Preparing for climatic change: the water, salmon, and forests of the Pacific Northwest. Climatic Change, 61, 45–88.

36. Mote, P.W., 2003: Trends in snow water equivalent in the Pacific Northwest and their climatic causes, Geophys. Res. Letts. 30, doi:10.1029/2003GL017258. 4pp.

35. Mote, P.W., and T.J. Dunkerton, 2003: Subseasonal water vapor variability in the tropical tropopause region. Proceedings of the Symposium on variability of water vapor, American Meteorological Society, Boston, MA.

34. Mote, P.W., and N.J. Mantua, 2002. Causes of climate variability in the Pacific Northwest. Climate Report 3(2) 2–6.

33. Snover, A.K., and P.W. Mote, 2002. Climate impacts on the natural resources of the Pacific Northwest. Climate Report 3(2) 7–11.

32. Mote, P.W., and N.J. Mantua, 2002: Coastal upwelling in a warmer future. Geophys. Res. Letts., 10.1029/ 2002GL016086. 4pp.

31. Mantua, N.J., and P.W. Mote, 2002: Uncertainty in scenarios of human caused climate change. Amer. Fish. Soc. Symp., 32, 263–272.

30. Mote, P.W., T.J. Dunkerton, and D. Wu, 2002: Kelvin waves in stratospheric temperature observed by the Microwave Limb Sounder. J. Geophys. Res., 107(D14), 10.1029/2001JD001056, 2002, 10pp.

29. Mote, P.W., 2001: Scientific assessment of climate change: global and regional scales. White Paper. JISAO/SMA Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. 10pp.

28. Mote, P.W., and A.F. Hamlet, 2001: Anthropogenic climate change and snow in the Pacific Northwest. In Proceedings of the Western Snow Conference, K. Elder, ed., pp. 51-52.

27. Parson, E.A., P.W. Mote, A. Hamlet, N. Mantua, A. Snover, W. Keeton, E. Miles, D. Canning, and K. Ideker, 2001: Potential consequences of climate variability and change for the Pacific Northwest. Chapter 9 in Climate Change Impacts in the United States, Foundation, National Assessment Synthesis Team. Cambridge University Press. pp 247–280.

26. Gettelman, A., J. Harries, and P. Mote, 2000: Distribution and Variability of Water Vapour, Chapter 3 in SPARC Assessment of Water Vapour in the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere, D. Kley, J. Russell, and C. Phillips, eds., World Climate Research Programme, Paris. pp 197–264.

25. Mote, P.W., H.L. Clark, T.J. Dunkerton, R.S. Harwood, and H.C. Pumphrey, 2000: Intraseasonal variations of water vapor in the tropical upper troposphere and tropopause region. J. Geophys. Res., 105, 17,457–17,470.

24. book: Mote, P.W., and A. O’Neill, editors, 2000: Numerical Modeling of the Global Atmosphere in the Climate System, Kluwer Academic Press, Dordrecht. 517pp.

23. Mote, P.W., 2000: Designing a GCM experiment: Fundamentals of the planning process. In: Numerical Modeling of the Global Atmosphere in the Climate System, pp 119–126, P.W. Mote and A. O'Neill (eds), Kluwer Academic Press, Dordrecht.

22. Mote, P.W., E. Sarachik, and M. Déqué, 2000: Seasonal predictions. In: Numerical Modeling of the Global Atmosphere in the Climate System, pp 387–402, P.W. Mote and A. O'Neill (eds), Kluwer Academic Press, Dordrecht.

21. Mote, P.W., D. Paquin, and J. Yin, 2000: Snow White and the six dwarves run climate models in Italy. Bull. of the Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 81, 1041–1045.

20. Mote, P.W., M. Holmberg, and N.J. Mantua, 1999: Impacts of climate variability and change: Pacific Northwest. Executive summary. A report of the JISAO/SMA Climate Impacts Group. 12 pp.

19. Mote, P.W., and 18 co-authors, 1999: Impacts of climate variability and change: Pacific Northwest. A report of the JISAO/SMA Climate Impacts Group. 110 pp.

18. Miles, E.L., N. Mantua, and P. Mote, 1999: ENSO impacts on the Pacific Northwest: An integrated assessment. 25th anniversary public proceedings of the School of Marine Affairs, May 7-8, 1998, Seattle. W. Wooster and W. T. Burke (eds), University of Washington, pp 90–98.

17. Mote, P.W., W.S. Keeton, and J.F. Franklin, 1999: Decadal variations in forest fire activity in the Pacific Northwest. 11^th Conference on Applied Climatology, American Meteorological Society, pp 155–156.

16. Clark, H.L., R.S. Harwood, P.W. Mote, and W.G. Read, 1998: Variability of water vapor in the tropical upper troposphere as measured by the Microwave Limb Sounder on UARS. J. Geophys. Res., 103, 31,695– 31,708.

15. Mote, P.W., T.J. Dunkerton, and H.C. Pumphrey, 1998: Sub-seasonal variations in lower stratospheric water vapor. Geophys. Res. Lett., 25, 2445–2448.

14. Mote, P.W., T.J. Dunkerton, M.E. McIntyre, E.A. Ray, P.H. Haynes, and James M. Russell III, 1998: Vertical velocity, vertical diffusion, and dilution by midlatitude air in the tropical lower stratosphere. J. Geophys. Res., 103, 8651–8666.

13. Mote, P.W., P.A. Stott, and R.S. Harwood, 1998: Stratospheric flow during two recent winters simulated by a mechanistic model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 1655– 1680.

12. Elson, L.S., W. Read, J.W. Waters, P.W. Mote, J.S. Kinnersley, and R.S. Harwood, 1996: Space-time variations in water vapor as observed by the UARS Microwave Limb Sounder. J. Geophys. Res., 101, 9001– 9015.

11. Mote, P.W., K.H. Rosenlof, M.E. McIntyre, E.S. Carr, J.C. Gille, J.R. Holton, J.S. Kinnersley, H.C. Pumphrey, J.M. Russell III, and J.W. Waters, 1996: An atmospheric tape recorder: The imprint of tropical tropopause temperatures on stratospheric water vapor. J. Geophys.Res., 101, 3989–4006.

10. Mote, P.W., 1995: Reconsideration of the cause of dry air in the southern middle latitude stratosphere. Geophys. Res. Letters, 22, 2025–2028.

9. Mote, P.W., K.H.Rosenlof, J.R.Holton, R.S. Harwood, and J.W. Waters, 1995: Seasonal variations of water vapor in the tropical lower stratosphere, Geophys. Res. Letters, 22, 1093–1096.

8. Carr, E.S., R.S. Harwood, P.W. Mote, G.E. Peckham, R.A. Suttie, W.A. Lahoz, A. O'Neill, L.Froidevaux, R.F. Jarnot, W.G. Read, J.W. Waters, and R. Swinbank, 1995: MLS stratospheric water vapor in the tropics, Geophys. Res. Letters, 22, 691–694.

7. Mote, P.W., 1995: The annual cycle of stratospheric water vapor in a general circulation model. J. Geophys. Res., 100, 7363–7380.

6. Mote, P.W., 1994: Assessment of stratospheric water vapor in a general circulation model. PhD Thesis, University of Washington, Seattle. Advisor Jim Holton.

5. Mote, P.W., J.R. Holton, and B.A. Boville, 1994: Characteristics of stratosphere-troposphere exchange in a general circulation model. J. Geophys. Res., 99, 16,815– 16,829.

4. Mote, P.W., J.R. Holton, J.M. Russell III, and B.A. Boville, 1993: A comparison of observed (HALOE) and modeled (CCM2) methane and stratospheric water vapor. Geophys. Res. Lett., 20, 1419–1422.

3. Mote, P.W., and J.R. Holton, 1992: Stratospheric water vapor in the NCAR CCM2. Eighth Conference on the Middle Atmosphere, January 5-10 1992, Atlanta, Georgia, American Meteorological Society, pp. 41–46.

2. Boville, B.A., J.R. Holton and P.W. Mote, 1991: Simulation of the Pinatubo aerosol cloud in a general circulation model. Geophys. Res. Lett. 18, 2281–2284.

1. Mote, P.W., J.R. Holton and J.M. Wallace, 1991: Variability in total ozone associated with baroclinic waves. J. Atmos. Sci 48, 1900–1903.