Monday, February 20, 2017. 3 - 4 pm, Burt 193. Geography Seminar: Galit Cohen-Blankshtain, Hebrew University of Jerusalem. "Integrated Transport Planning in a Segmented City: The Case of Jerusalem"
Tuesday, February 21, 2017. 3:30 - 4:30 pm, Burt 193. POA Seminar: John Guthrie, APL- UW. "Mixing in the Amundsen Basin of the Central Arctic Ocean: Quiet and Quieter"
Wednesday, February 22, 2017. 12 - 1 pm, Owen 103. WRGP Seminar: David Purkey, Stockholm Environment Institute, Davis CA. "Lessons from an Athenian Drought: What Greek Philosophy Suggests about the Proper Role of Models and Analysis in the Management of Water Resources"
Thursday, February 23, 2017. 4 – 5 pm, Burt 193. G&G Seminar: Bob Gregory, SMU. "Stable Isotopic Constraints on the History of the Ocean and the Initiation of Plate Tectonics: Evidence from Ophioltes and Archean Greenstone Belts"
Title: "Combining stock assessment, habitat, ecosystem, and climate research using multivariate spatio-temporal models" by James Thorson, NOAA, NWFSC, Seattle, WA.
Date and Time: February 28th, 2017 @ 12:00
Location: Burt 193
Abstract: Ocean management requires a wide variety of research, ranging from global physical-ocean models to stock assessment models for small-scale fisheries. Researchers have developed different approaches and software tools to provide advice about climate impacts, essential fish habitat, and fish stock status (among others). However, recent developments in spatio-temporal modelling promise to provide a single framework for conducting climate, habitat, ecosystem, and fishery assessments. This framework could then improve development, review, and communication of ocean science including harvest limits, essential fish habitat designation, and integrated ecosystem assessments. In this talk, I review development of a new spatio-temporal modelling toolbox (www.FishStats.org). I first review applications of FishStats to population, community, ecosystem, and climate analyses. These include models for species interactions, attribution of distribution shifts to climate vs. endogenous dynamics, and standardization of fishery-dependent data. I then highlight opportunities for collaborative research, including (1) integrating data from multiple sources; (2) estimating community synchrony and portfolio effects; and (3) further development of mechanistic population-dynamics models. Throughout, I highlight how spatio-temporal models can provide a unifying framework throughout ocean sciences.